Skip to content
Sunday 18 March 2018, 16:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
20% 26% 55%
Home win
19.7%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
54.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 19.7% 5.09
Draw 25.8% 3.87
Atalanta 54.5% 1.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.78
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.63
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 45.5% 2.20
Hellas Verona / Atalanta 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Atalanta 80.3% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
12.2
10.7
5.9
2.4
0.8
1
6.3
12.3
9.6
5.3
2.2
0.7
2
3.1
5.2
4.3
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
0.9
1.6
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.