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Sunday 4 February 2018, 13:30 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
12% 19% 69%
Home win
11.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
69.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 11.8% 8.48
Draw 19.1% 5.23
AS Roma 69.1% 1.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.55
Over 1.5 81.7% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.3% 5.48
Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.6% 2.46
Over 3.5 37.0% 2.70
Under 3.5 63.0% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.8% 5.05
Under 4.5 80.2% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.96
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 30.9% 3.23
Hellas Verona / AS Roma 80.9% 1.24
Draw / AS Roma 88.2% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
9.8
11.7
8.7
4.9
2.2
1
3.3
9.1
9.7
7.2
4.1
1.8
2
1.6
3.6
4.0
3.0
1.7
0.8
3
0.4
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.