Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
42%
30%
29%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
28.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Crotone | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona / Draw | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona / Crotone | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
9.5
|
5.2
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.9
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
8.4
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Crotone
2-1
Hellas Verona
Jan 2021
Hellas Verona
2-1
Crotone
Aug 2017
Crotone
0-0
Hellas Verona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.