Friday 29 December 2017, 21:45
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
8%
17%
75%
Home win
7.8%
Draw
17.0%
Away win
75.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 7.8% | 12.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Napoli | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Crotone / Napoli | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
11.6
|
14.1
|
10.9
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.1
|
8.9
|
6.9
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
| 2 |
1.0
|
2.4
|
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Napoli
4-3
Crotone
Dec 2020
Crotone
0-4
Napoli
May 2018
Napoli
2-1
Crotone
Mar 2017
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Oct 2016
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.