Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
12%
17%
71%
Home win
11.9%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
71.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 11.9% | 8.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.9% | 5.90 | — | — |
| Napoli | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.2% | 8.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Crotone / Napoli | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
6.7
|
9.2
|
8.0
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
| 1 |
2.3
|
7.6
|
9.2
|
8.0
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.6
|
4.6
|
4.0
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Napoli
4-3
Crotone
Dec 2020
Crotone
0-4
Napoli
May 2018
Napoli
2-1
Crotone
Dec 2017
Crotone
0-1
Napoli
Mar 2017
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.