Saturday 15 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
77%
13%
9%
Home win
77.3%
Draw
13.4%
Away win
9.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.4% | 7.48 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 9.4% | 10.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.4% | 13.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| No | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Napoli / AS Roma | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
5.3
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
7.9
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
8.2
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.9
|
6.4
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.7
|
4.0
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Nov 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Napoli
Feb 2025
AS Roma
1-1
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
AS Roma
Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.