Saturday 24 September 2016, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
14.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Chievo | 14.2% | 7.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 85.8% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Napoli / Chievo | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.9
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
7.0
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Nov 2018
Napoli
0-0
Chievo
Apr 2018
Napoli
2-1
Chievo
Nov 2017
Chievo
0-0
Napoli
Feb 2017
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.