Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
81.3%
Draw
13.2%
Away win
5.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Chievo | 5.6% | 17.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Napoli / Chievo | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
6.3
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.1
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.0
|
7.3
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Nov 2018
Napoli
0-0
Chievo
Nov 2017
Chievo
0-0
Napoli
Feb 2017
Chievo
1-3
Napoli
Sep 2016
Napoli
2-0
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.