Monday 26 February 2018, 21:45
Sardegna Arena
Full time
11%
19%
70%
Home win
11.4%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
70.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 11.4% | 8.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Napoli | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Napoli | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
9.4
|
11.5
|
8.9
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
| 1 |
3.1
|
8.8
|
9.6
|
7.4
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
3.5
|
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli
Aug 2025
Napoli
1-0
Cagliari
May 2025
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-4
Napoli
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Dec 2023
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.