Saturday 10 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
62%
20%
18%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
18.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Lazio | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.0% | 8.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Napoli / Lazio | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
2.9
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
8.4
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
9.4
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
7.4
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
4.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2025
Lazio
2-2
Napoli
Dec 2024
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 2024
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.