Monday 5 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
72%
18%
10%
Home win
71.6%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
10.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Genoa | 10.4% | 9.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.2% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.7% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Lazio / Genoa | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
8.6
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.5
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
7.4
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lazio
3-2
Genoa
Sep 2025
Genoa
0-3
Lazio
Apr 2025
Genoa
0-2
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Apr 2024
Genoa
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2023
Lazio
0-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.