Saturday 6 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
18%
21%
61%
Home win
18.2%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
60.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Lazio | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Spal / Lazio | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
7.4
|
8.7
|
6.3
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
9.5
|
9.8
|
7.1
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.3
|
5.1
|
5.5
|
4.0
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.9
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Lazio
5-1
Spal
Sep 2019
Spal
2-1
Lazio
Apr 2019
Spal
1-0
Lazio
Nov 2018
Lazio
4-1
Spal
Aug 2017
Lazio
0-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.