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Saturday 23 December 2017, 16:00 Stadio Paolo Mazza Full time
2–2
HT 1–2
30% 25% 45%
Home win
29.8%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
45.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Spal 29.8% 3.35
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Torino 45.1% 2.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.44
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Spal / Draw 54.9% 1.82
Spal / Torino 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Torino 70.2% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
7.4
6.9
3.9
1.6
0.6
1
5.8
11.5
9.2
5.2
2.2
0.8
2
4.3
7.3
6.2
3.5
1.5
0.5
3
1.9
3.3
2.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
4
0.7
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Spal goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.