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Sunday 13 May 2018, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
58% 24% 18%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
17.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 58.4% 1.71
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Spal 17.9% 5.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.64
Over 1.5 77.2% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.8% 4.39
Over 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.4% 3.29
Under 3.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.69
Under 4.5 85.0% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 82.1% 1.22
Torino / Spal 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Spal 41.6% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
5.1
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.8
11.3
5.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.5
6.1
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Spal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.