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Sunday 29 April 2018, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
33% 22% 45%
Home win
32.6%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
45.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 32.6% 3.07
Draw 22.2% 4.50
Lazio 45.2% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.82
Over 1.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.8% 9.28
Over 2.5 72.1% 1.39
Under 2.5 27.9% 3.59
Over 3.5 51.4% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 4.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 4.5 68.0% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 71.6% 1.40
No 28.4% 3.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 54.8% 1.82
Torino / Lazio 77.8% 1.29
Draw / Lazio 67.4% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
4.3
4.9
3.3
1.7
0.7
1
3.6
8.7
8.4
5.7
2.9
1.2
2
3.5
7.1
7.2
4.8
2.5
1.0
3
2.0
4.0
4.1
2.8
1.4
0.6
4
0.8
1.7
1.7
1.2
0.6
0.2
5
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.