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Wednesday 4 April 2018, 19:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
4–1
HT 3–0
61% 22% 16%
Home win
61.3%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 61.3% 1.63
Draw 22.2% 4.50
Crotone 16.5% 6.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.94
Over 1.5 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.3% 4.93
Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.8% 2.29
Over 3.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 3.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 4.5 82.6% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 83.5% 1.20
Torino / Crotone 77.8% 1.29
Draw / Crotone 38.7% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
4.4
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
10.0
10.6
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
3
7.0
6.6
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.5
3.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.4
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.