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Friday 9 March 2018, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
64% 21% 16%
Home win
63.6%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
15.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 63.6% 1.57
Draw 20.8% 4.82
Torino 15.7% 6.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.80
Over 1.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.83
Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Under 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Over 3.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 3.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.2% 4.72
Under 4.5 78.8% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.2% 1.78
No 43.8% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 84.3% 1.19
AS Roma / Torino 79.2% 1.26
Draw / Torino 36.4% 2.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
3.7
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
8.7
9.7
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.9
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.2
7.1
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
3.9
3.9
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.