Sunday 25 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
58%
24%
17%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
17.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 12.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| AS Roma / AC Milan | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
11.6
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
3-1
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AC Milan
3-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.