Sunday 18 February 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
46%
26%
28%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
28.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Sampdoria | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
6.7
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
12.4
|
7.1
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.3
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
AC Milan
5-1
Sampdoria
Sep 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Feb 2022
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2021
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan
Apr 2021
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.