Sunday 11 February 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
64%
20%
15%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
15.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Hellas Verona | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
9.5
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
9.9
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
7.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Sep 2022
Hellas Verona
2-1
Sampdoria
Apr 2022
Hellas Verona
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2021
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
3-1
Hellas Verona
Dec 2020
Hellas Verona
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.