Saturday 6 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Full time
15%
23%
63%
Home win
14.5%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
62.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento / Draw | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Benevento / Sampdoria | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
12.2
|
12.2
|
7.7
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.8
|
9.7
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.1
|
3.9
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.