Saturday 23 December 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
27%
16%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Benevento | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.5% | 13.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Genoa / Benevento | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
6.7
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
12.0
|
3.9
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
8.8
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.