Tuesday 12 December 2017, 20:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
23%
28%
49%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
48.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Genoa / Atalanta | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
13.2
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
13.3
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
5.6
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
0-1
Atalanta
May 2025
Genoa
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2024
Atalanta
5-1
Genoa
Feb 2024
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Oct 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.