Sunday 26 November 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
12%
21%
67%
Home win
12.2%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
66.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 12.2% | 8.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Genoa / AS Roma | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
12.1
|
12.8
|
8.7
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
10.0
|
9.6
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
1.7
|
3.5
|
3.6
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Jan 2025
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
1-1
AS Roma
May 2024
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
4-1
AS Roma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.