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Sunday 22 October 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
22% 20% 58%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
58.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 21.7% 4.61
Draw 20.2% 4.94
AS Roma 58.1% 1.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 36.06
Over 1.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.6% 9.47
Over 2.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 3.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 3.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 4.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 4.5 67.4% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.9% 1.45
No 31.1% 3.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 41.9% 2.39
Torino / AS Roma 79.8% 1.25
Draw / AS Roma 78.3% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
5.0
6.4
5.0
3.0
1.4
1
2.8
8.1
9.1
7.1
4.2
2.0
2
2.3
5.4
6.4
5.0
3.0
1.4
3
1.1
2.6
3.0
2.4
1.4
0.7
4
0.4
0.9
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.