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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 19:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
0–4
HT 0–2
8% 17% 75%
Home win
8.3%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
74.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 8.3% 12.11
Draw 16.8% 5.95
AS Roma 74.9% 1.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.42
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 59.0% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.0% 2.44
Over 3.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 3.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.5% 5.14
Under 4.5 80.5% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 25.1% 3.99
Benevento / AS Roma 83.2% 1.20
Draw / AS Roma 91.7% 1.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
10.7
13.3
10.6
6.3
3.0
1
2.7
8.0
9.0
7.2
4.3
2.0
2
1.1
2.6
3.0
2.4
1.4
0.7
3
0.2
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.2
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.