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Saturday 26 August 2017, 19:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
48% 27% 25%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
24.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 47.9% 2.09
Draw 27.2% 3.68
Bologna 24.9% 4.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.72
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.3% 3.95
Under 3.5 74.7% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.64
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 75.1% 1.33
Benevento / Bologna 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Bologna 52.1% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
7.3
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
11.1
12.9
6.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.0
9.3
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.6
4.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.