Skip to content
Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:45 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
34% 25% 41%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
40.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 34.4% 2.91
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Torino 40.8% 2.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.21
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.81
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.3% 1.58
No 36.7% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 59.2% 1.69
Bologna / Torino 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Torino 65.6% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
6.5
5.8
3.2
1.3
0.4
1
5.8
11.3
8.8
4.8
2.0
0.7
2
4.8
8.0
6.6
3.6
1.5
0.5
3
2.4
4.0
3.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
0.9
1.5
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.