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Sunday 21 May 2017, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
26% 24% 50%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
49.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 26.1% 3.83
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Torino 49.6% 2.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.20
Over 1.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.1% 5.54
Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 3.5 37.2% 2.69
Under 3.5 62.8% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.9% 5.02
Under 4.5 80.1% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.64
No 39.2% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 50.4% 1.99
Genoa / Torino 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Torino 73.9% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
7.7
7.5
4.6
2.1
0.8
1
5.2
11.2
9.6
5.8
2.6
1.0
2
3.7
6.7
6.1
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.6
2.8
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.