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Sunday 14 May 2017, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
37% 29% 35%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
34.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 36.7% 2.73
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Genoa 34.8% 2.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.11
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.22
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 65.2% 1.53
Palermo / Genoa 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Genoa 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
9.3
6.2
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.7
13.6
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.6
8.1
5.0
2.0
0.6
0.2
3
2.8
3.4
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.