Sunday 18 December 2016, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
62%
25%
13%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Palermo | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.3% | 12.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Genoa / Palermo | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Palermo | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
5.7
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.2
|
11.2
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
8.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|