Sunday 11 December 2016, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
44%
28%
28%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
27.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Genoa | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Inter / Genoa | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
8.1
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
13.4
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.9
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Inter
2-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
1-2
Inter
Feb 2025
Inter
1-0
Genoa
Aug 2024
Genoa
2-2
Inter
Mar 2024
Inter
2-1
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.