Sunday 20 November 2016, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
60%
25%
16%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
15.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Genoa | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Lazio / Genoa | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
11.6
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.5
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lazio
3-2
Genoa
Sep 2025
Genoa
0-3
Lazio
Apr 2025
Genoa
0-2
Lazio
Oct 2024
Lazio
3-0
Genoa
Apr 2024
Genoa
0-1
Lazio
Aug 2023
Lazio
0-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.