Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
70%
17%
12%
Home win
70.4%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
12.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lazio / Sassuolo | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
7.8
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.4
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
7.9
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Sep 2025
Sassuolo
1-0
Lazio
May 2024
Lazio
1-1
Sassuolo
Oct 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
May 2023
Lazio
2-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.