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Sunday 23 October 2016, 19:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
45% 27% 28%
Home win
44.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 44.7% 2.24
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Sassuolo 28.1% 3.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.53
Over 1.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.5% 3.92
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.9% 3.71
Under 3.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.93
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 71.9% 1.39
Bologna / Sassuolo 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Sassuolo 55.3% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
7.5
4.7
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
10.1
13.0
6.9
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
8.1
9.1
5.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.0
4.5
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.