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Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:00 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
56% 20% 24%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
24.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 55.6% 1.80
Draw 20.0% 5.01
Udinese 24.4% 4.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 45.41
Over 1.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.6% 11.68
Over 2.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 2.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 3.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 3.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 4.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 4.5 62.4% 1.60

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 73.1% 1.37
No 26.9% 3.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 75.6% 1.32
Sassuolo / Udinese 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Udinese 44.4% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.2
2.4
2.3
1.2
0.5
0.2
1
3.9
7.3
5.5
2.9
1.2
0.4
2
5.3
8.4
6.7
3.6
1.4
0.5
3
4.3
6.8
5.4
2.9
1.2
0.4
4
2.6
4.1
3.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
5
1.3
2.0
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.