Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45
Dacia Arena
Full time
41%
30%
29%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
28.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Udinese / Fiorentina | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
10.1
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.0
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Udinese
3-0
Fiorentina
Dec 2025
Fiorentina
5-1
Udinese
May 2025
Udinese
2-3
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-2
Udinese
Jan 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Udinese
Sep 2023
Udinese
0-2
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.