Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
39%
31%
29%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
29.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Genoa | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Bologna / Genoa | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
10.8
|
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
14.2
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
7.7
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-2
Bologna
Sep 2025
Bologna
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Bologna
1-3
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
2-2
Bologna
May 2024
Genoa
2-0
Bologna
Jan 2024
Bologna
1-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.