Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
39%
38%
23%
Home win
38.7%
Draw
38.0%
Away win
23.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Pescara | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 18.5% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 6.3% | 15.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 1.8% | 57.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| No | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Genoa / Pescara | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw / Pescara | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
23.5
|
13.1
|
4.2
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.1
|
12.8
|
3.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|