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Sunday 19 February 2017, 16:00 Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Full time
5–0
HT 3–0
29% 27% 43%
Home win
29.5%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
43.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara 29.5% 3.39
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Genoa 43.3% 2.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.76
Over 1.5 74.9% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.1% 3.98
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.75
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.9% 1.85
No 46.1% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Pescara / Draw 56.7% 1.76
Pescara / Genoa 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Genoa 70.5% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
9.7
7.7
3.8
1.4
0.4
1
7.6
13.0
9.0
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
4.9
7.2
5.3
2.6
1.0
0.3
3
1.9
2.8
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Pescara goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.