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Sunday 12 February 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
5–3
HT 3–0
76% 15% 9%
Home win
75.8%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
9.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 75.8% 1.32
Draw 15.1% 6.64
Pescara 9.1% 10.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.64
Over 1.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.0% 8.35
Over 2.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 2.5 29.9% 3.34
Over 3.5 48.9% 2.04
Under 3.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 4.5 29.8% 3.36
Under 4.5 70.2% 1.42

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.3% 1.81
No 44.7% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 90.9% 1.10
Torino / Pescara 84.9% 1.18
Draw / Pescara 24.2% 4.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
6.9
6.9
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
10.0
8.9
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
9.2
8.1
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
4
6.3
5.5
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
3.4
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.