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Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00 Carlo Castellani Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
21% 28% 51%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
50.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 21.5% 4.65
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Torino 50.8% 1.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.92
Over 1.5 69.2% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.8% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.85
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17
No 53.9% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 49.2% 2.03
Empoli / Torino 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Torino 78.5% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
13.2
10.4
5.2
1.9
0.6
1
7.5
13.0
9.1
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
3.6
5.4
4.0
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.1
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.