Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
26%
34%
40%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
34.1%
Away win
39.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Udinese | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.8% | 9.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.6% | 27.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Empoli / Udinese | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.4
|
16.2
|
8.7
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
13.9
|
6.7
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Udinese
3-0
Empoli
Nov 2024
Empoli
1-1
Udinese
May 2024
Udinese
1-1
Empoli
Oct 2023
Empoli
0-0
Udinese
Mar 2023
Empoli
0-1
Udinese
Jan 2023
Udinese
1-1
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.