Tuesday 20 December 2016, 21:45
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
63%
25%
11%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
11.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Empoli | 11.2% | 8.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.6% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| No | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Empoli | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
5.7
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.5
|
10.6
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
8.0
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Empoli
0-5
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
3-2
Empoli
Apr 2024
Atalanta
2-0
Empoli
Oct 2023
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2023
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
Oct 2022
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.