Sunday 20 November 2016, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
25%
38%
37%
Home win
25.3%
Draw
37.9%
Away win
36.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 6.6% | 15.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 1.9% | 53.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| No | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Empoli / Fiorentina | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
23.0
|
18.2
|
8.0
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
13.1
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Fiorentina
2-1
Empoli
Sep 2024
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli
Feb 2023
Fiorentina
1-1
Empoli
Aug 2022
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.