Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
19%
34%
47%
Home win
19.0%
Draw
34.0%
Away win
47.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Chievo | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.0% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.1% | 10.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.9% | 34.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| No | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Empoli / Chievo | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.2
|
19.6
|
11.1
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
12.7
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.