Sunday 16 October 2016, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
50%
27%
23%
Home win
49.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
23.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Chievo / AC Milan | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
7.2
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
12.9
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.3
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
4.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 2018
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Mar 2018
AC Milan
3-2
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
1-4
AC Milan
Mar 2017
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.