Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
33%
29%
39%
Home win
32.5%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
38.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Chievo / AC Milan | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
10.2
|
7.1
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
13.6
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.5
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 2018
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Mar 2018
AC Milan
3-2
Chievo
Mar 2017
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Oct 2016
Chievo
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.