Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
38%
29%
34%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
33.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Chievo | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.2% | 9.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Genoa / Chievo | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
9.4
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.7
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.2
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
Sep 2018
Genoa
2-0
Chievo
Feb 2018
Chievo
0-1
Genoa
Apr 2017
Genoa
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.