Sunday 11 February 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
38%
31%
30%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
30.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Genoa | 30.1% | 3.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Chievo / Genoa | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.1
|
11.1
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
14.2
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
7.6
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
Sep 2018
Genoa
2-0
Chievo
Sep 2017
Genoa
1-1
Chievo
Apr 2017
Genoa
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
0-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.